July 1, 1997
KSC Contact: George H. Diller
KSC Release No. 98-97

SPACE SHUTTLE WEATHER LAUNCH COMMIT CRITERIA AND KSC END OF MISSION WEATHER LANDING CRITERIA

The launch weather guidelines involving the Space Shuttle and expendable rockets are similar in many areas, but a distinction is made for the individual characteristics of each. The criteria are broadly conservative and assure avoidance of possibly adverse conditions. They are reviewed for each launch.

For the Space Shuttle, weather "outlooks" provided by the U. S. Air Force Range Weather Operations Facility at Cape Canaveral begin at Launch minus 5 days in coordination with the NOAA National Weather Service Spaceflight Meteorology Group (SMG) at the Johnson Space Center in Houston. These include weather trends and their possible effects on launch day. A formal prelaunch weather briefing is held on Launch minus 1 day which is a specific weather briefing for all areas of Space Shuttle launch operations.

Launch weather forecasts, ground operations forecasts, and launch weather briefings for the Mission Management Team and the Space Shuttle Launch Director are prepared by the Range Weather Operations Facility. Forecasts which apply after launch are prepared by SMG. These include all emergency landing forecasts and the end of mission forecasts briefed by SMG to the astronauts, the Flight Director and Mission Management Team.

During the countdown, formal weather briefings occur approximately as follows:

L-24 hr 0 min: Briefing for Flight Director and astronauts
L-21 hr 0 min: Briefing for removal of Rotating Service Structure
L-9 hr 00 min: Briefing for external tank fuel loading
L-4 hr 30 min: Briefing for Space Shuttle Launch Director
L-3 hr 55 min: Briefing for astronauts
L-2 hr 10 min: Briefing for Flight Director
L-0 hr 35 min: Briefing for launch and RTLS
L-0 hr 13 min: Poll all weather constraints

The basic weather launch commit criteria on the pad at liftoff must be:

Temperature: Prior to external tank propellant loading, tanking will not begin if the 24 hour average temperature has been below 41 degrees.

After tanking begins, the countdown shall not be continued nor the Shuttle launched if:

a.) the temperature exceeds 99 degrees for more than 30 consecutive minutes.

b.) the temperature is lower than the prescribed minimum value for longer than 30 minutes unless sun angle, wind, temperature and relative humidity conditions permit recovery. The minimum temperature limit in degrees F. is specified by the table below and is a function of the five minute average of temperature, wind and humidity. The table becomes applicable when the observed temperature reaches 48 degrees. In no case may the Space Shuttle be launched if the temperature is 35 degrees or colder.

Wind SpeedRelative Humidity
(kts)0-64%65-74%75-79%80-89%90-100%
0 - 14847464544
24746454443
34141414039
43939393938
5 - 73838383838
8 - 143737373737
>143636363636

The above table can be used to determine when conditions are again acceptable for launch if parameters have been out of limits for thirty minutes or less. If longer than thirty minutes, a mathematical recovery formula of the environmental conditions is used to determine if a return to acceptable parameters has been achieved. Launch conditions have been reached if the formula reaches a positive value.

Wind: Tanking will not begin if the wind is observed or forecast to exceed 42 knots for the next three hour period.

For launch the wind constraints at the launch pad will vary slightly for each mission. The peak wind speed allowable is 34 knots. However, when the wind direction is between 100 degrees and 260 degrees, the peak speed varies and may be as low as 20 knots.

The upper atmosphere wind profile must conform to either one of two wind loading programs developed by the Johnson Space Center. This profile is determined by a series of Jimsphere wind balloon releases from Cape Canaveral Air Station. A final recommendation is made by the JSC Launch Systems Evaluation Advisory Team (LSEAT) to the KSC launch director at Launch minus 30 minutes. The Space Shuttle will not be launched within 30 minutes of the time a determination has been made that the upper wind profile will adversely affect the performance of the launch vehicle.

A downrange weather advisory shall be issued by the Shuttle Weather Officer to the Mission Management Team for their consideration if the wind in the solid rocket booster recovery area is forecast to exceed 26 knots during retrieval operations. Seas in excess of Sea State 5 (8-13 feet) may also be a factor considered by the Mission Management Team.

Precipitation: None at the launch pad or within the flight path.

Lightning (and electric fields with triggering potential):

The above rule need not apply if the following two conditions are observed to exist:

1. There are no clouds within 10 nautical miles of the flight path except those which are transparent. Also excepted are clouds with tops below the 41 degrees F. temperature level that have not have been previously associated with a thunderstorm, or associated with convective clouds having tops above the 14 degrees F. temperature level during the last three hours.

2. A known source of electric fields such as ground fog, smoke or "sunrise effect" is occurring near the field mill which are conditions previously determined and documented to be benign and is clearly causing the elevated readings.

Clouds: (types known to contain hazardous electric fields)

Supporting Table: KSC Seasonal Altitudes of Temperature Levels in thousands of feet

JanuaryJuly
TempLowAvgHighTempLowAvgHigh
-4 F21 Kft24 Kft26 Kft-4 F23 Kft27 Kft29 Kft
1413182114182123
239151823161820
32sfc121632131518
41sfc91441101215

Range Safety Cloud Ceiling and Visibility constraints:

a.) the vehicle integrity can be observed without interruption through 6, 000 feet.

b.) all required Range Safety instrumentation is functioning properly

c.) the U.S. Air Force 45th Space Wing Commander approves the decision to proceed

a.) the thickness of the clouds must be less than 500 feet

b.) the vehicle integrity can be monitored by the Eastern Range airborne and/or the ground forward observers through 8, 000 feet

c.) all required Range Safety instrumentation is functioning properly

d.) the U.S. Air Force 45th Space Wing Commander approves the decision to proceed

A "Good Sense Rule" is in effect for launch which states: "Even when constraints are not violated, if any other hazardous conditions exist, the launch weather officer will report the threat to the launch director. The launch director may hold at any time based on the instability of the weather."

CONTINGENCY FLIGHT RULES

Weather criteria for an emergency landing must be considered along with launch criteria since the possibility exists for a Return To Launch Site abort (RTLS), landings at the Trans-Oceanic Abort Landing Sites (TAL), the Abort Once Around (AOA) sites and the first day Primary Landing Site (PLS). These forecasts are prepared by the NOAA National Weather Service Spaceflight Meteorology Group in Houston and briefed by them to the astronauts, Flight Director and Mission Management Team. All criteria refer to observed and forecast weather conditions except for the first day PLS which is forecast weather only.

a.) The tops of the clouds containing precipitation do not extend into temperature regions colder than 41 (F.); they have not been colder than 14 (F. ) within 2.5 hours prior to launch; the radar reflectivity is less than 30 dbz at all levels within and below the clouds.

b.) Precipitation covers less than 10% of the area within 20 nautical miles of the runway, or multiple heading alignment circles are clear of showers.

c.) The movement of the showers is observed to be consistent and no additional convective development is forecast.

d.) Touchdown/rollout criteria and associated navigational aids meet the specified prelaunch go/no go requirements.

If showers exceed either parameter of part a.) above, an RTLS landing may still occur if a 2 nautical mile vertical clearance can be maintained from the top of any shower within 10 nautical miles of the approach paths.

KSC END OF MISSION LANDING WEATHER FLIGHT RULES

The end of mission landing weather forecast is prepared by the NOAA National Weather Service Spaceflight Meteorology Group in Houston for the astronauts, Flight Director and Mission Management Team. All criteria refer to observed and forecast weather conditions. At decision time for the deorbit burn 90 minutes before landing the weather conditions must be:

WEATHER INSTRUMENTATION

The weather equipment used by the forecasters to develop the launch and landing forecasts is:


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